Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Shrewsbury
28.8%
Draw
27.9%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Shrewsbury
vs
0.88
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).