Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Crawley Town
22.2%
Draw
57.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Crawley Town
vs
1.80
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.0%
1-1
10.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
2.9%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).