Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Sunderland
24.4%
Draw
24.6%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sunderland
vs
0.92
Coventry
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).