Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Port Vale
20.1%
Draw
12.9%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Port Vale
vs
0.69
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).