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AHT: 01CSV

14 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.3%
Harrogate
16.4%
Draw
74.2%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.63

Harrogate

vs
2.23

Stockport

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.2%
0-1
13.0%
0-3
10.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
0-4
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
0-5
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).