Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.9%
Norwich
17.7%
Draw
75.3%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Norwich
vs
2.36
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.1%
0-3
11.1%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
0-4
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-4
4.1%
0-5
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
2-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).