Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Chateauroux
25.6%
Draw
33.1%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Chateauroux
vs
1.10
Caen
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).