Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.1%
Bayern Munich
5.0%
Draw
2.0%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
4.40
Bayern Munich
vs
0.72
Hertha
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.596.5%
Over 2.588.4%
Over 3.575.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
5-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
5-1
6.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
1-0
2.5%
4-2
2.5%
3-2
2.2%
5-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).