Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.6%
Milan
11.9%
Draw
4.5%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Milan
vs
0.45
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
3-0
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
1-1
5.4%
5-0
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
2.2%
5-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).