Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Cadiz
25.9%
Draw
15.2%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Cadiz
vs
0.61
Lugo
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
2-0
13.6%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).