Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.3%
La Coruna
22.0%
Draw
10.7%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
La Coruna
vs
0.52
Lugo
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
2-0
15.8%
0-0
10.3%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).