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DHT: 11CSV

23 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Macclesfield
30.9%
Draw
38.7%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Macclesfield

vs
1.01

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS36.3%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.1%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).