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AHT: 01CSV

28 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.5%
Torquay
23.9%
Draw
22.6%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Torquay

vs
1.19

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).