Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.4%
Hammarby
11.5%
Draw
6.0%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Hammarby
vs
0.89
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.578.7%
Over 3.560.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
1-1
5.0%
5-0
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
5-1
4.4%
3-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).