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01 Apr 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.4%
Cremonese
18.6%
Draw
12.9%
FeralpiSalo

Expected Goals (xG)

2.47

Cremonese

vs
1.02

FeralpiSalo

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).