Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Reggina
26.6%
Draw
17.6%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Reggina
vs
0.83
Bari
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).