Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Harrogate
18.3%
Draw
69.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Harrogate
vs
2.10
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.3%
0-1
13.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).