Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Haugesund
20.2%
Draw
59.9%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Haugesund
vs
2.13
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).