Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Reggiana
30.8%
Draw
37.6%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Reggiana
vs
1.22
Spal
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).