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AHT: 01

21 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Vålerenga
22.7%
Draw
32.1%
Rosenborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Vålerenga

vs
1.47

Rosenborg

Markets

BTTS64.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.7%
1-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).