Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.8%
Bournemouth
12.2%
Draw
6.0%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Bournemouth
vs
0.88
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
4-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).