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HHT: 11CSV

24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.7%
Wealdstone
25.0%
Draw
23.3%
Oxford City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Wealdstone

vs
1.14

Oxford City

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).