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HHT: 10CSV

06 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
Woking
21.8%
Draw
13.4%
Oxford City

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Woking

vs
0.82

Oxford City

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).