Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
20.7%
Draw
69.5%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
2.02
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.5%
0-1
13.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).