Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Benevento
29.6%
Draw
18.6%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Benevento
vs
0.75
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).