Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Ath Madrid
24.0%
Draw
11.6%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Ath Madrid
vs
0.54
Alaves
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
2-0
15.2%
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).