Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.8%
Cartagena
22.1%
Draw
63.0%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Cartagena
vs
1.81
Elche
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).