Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Bradford
27.2%
Draw
31.5%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Bradford
vs
1.04
Notts County
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).