Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Hartlepool
25.6%
Draw
17.8%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Hartlepool
vs
0.87
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).