Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Notts County
27.4%
Draw
33.2%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Notts County
vs
1.08
Bradford
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).