Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.6%
Marseille
14.4%
Draw
11.0%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Marseille
vs
0.92
Nantes
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-1
6.5%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).