Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.2%
Preston
23.2%
Draw
70.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
Preston
vs
1.69
Burnley
Markets
BTTS24.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.7%
0-2
18.8%
0-0
13.9%
0-3
10.6%
1-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
0-5
1.5%
2-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).