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HHT: 20CSV

17 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Lazio
28.2%
Draw
25.9%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Lazio

vs
0.89

Udinese

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).