Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Juve Stabia
30.4%
Draw
18.1%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Juve Stabia
vs
0.71
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).