Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Bastia
30.1%
Draw
27.5%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Bastia
vs
0.77
Caen
Markets
BTTS33.8%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.553.2%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
0-0
15.2%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).