Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Ath Bilbao
28.7%
Draw
34.9%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.17
Celta
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).