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19 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.1%
FC Koln
23.4%
Draw
34.5%
Newark Flowserve

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

FC Koln

vs
1.43

Newark Flowserve

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).