Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Bolton
23.2%
Draw
26.3%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Bolton
vs
1.05
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).