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20 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
Scunthorpe
23.0%
Draw
26.9%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Scunthorpe

vs
1.46

Solihull

Markets

BTTS67.3%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-0
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).