Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Hamilton
31.5%
Draw
29.2%
Stenhousemuir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Hamilton
vs
0.95
Stenhousemuir
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).