Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Harrogate
25.2%
Draw
53.4%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Harrogate
vs
1.50
Salford
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.9%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).