Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Bournemouth
26.2%
Draw
37.0%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Bournemouth
vs
1.62
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-0
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).