Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Fulham
27.2%
Draw
37.3%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Fulham
vs
1.54
Man United
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).