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AHT: 11CSV

16 Dec 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Bordeaux
19.5%
Draw
33.8%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

2.29

Bordeaux

vs
1.95

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS76.9%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
1-1
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
5.5%
2-3
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-3
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).