Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Preston
28.0%
Draw
51.1%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Preston
vs
1.51
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.8%
0-2
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).