Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Malaga
18.4%
Draw
11.6%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Malaga
vs
0.74
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).