Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Swindon
24.1%
Draw
27.9%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Swindon
vs
1.12
Walsall
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).