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01 Apr 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.5%
Edinburgh City
21.6%
Draw
67.9%
Kelty Hearts

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Edinburgh City

vs
2.19

Kelty Hearts

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.2%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
8.9%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).