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AHT: 10

12 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.9%
Lowestoft Town
12.9%
Draw
75.2%
Weston-super-Mare

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Lowestoft Town

vs
3.26

Weston-super-Mare

Markets

BTTS70.2%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.583.4%
Over 3.567.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
1-4
6.4%
0-3
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-3
5.1%
0-4
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-4
4.2%
1-5
4.2%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).