Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Wolves
26.9%
Draw
54.9%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Wolves
vs
1.72
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).